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Innovation, Models, and Policy Standards Can Propel Growth in Cyber Cat Bonds and ILS: Geneva Association

Posted on December 13, 2024December 13, 2024 By Martin Hinton

Cybersecurity risks are escalating as businesses embrace digitalization, creating one of the most urgent challenges of our time. Cyber incidents, including ransomware attacks and data breaches, have topped global risk charts, leaving many businesses scrambling for solutions. Despite the exponential growth of the cyber insurance market—premiums soared from $1.5 billion in 2013 to $15 billion in 2023—most cyber risks remain uninsured. Addressing this gap, the Geneva Association’s new report, Catalysing Cyber Risk Transfer to Capital Markets: Catastrophe Bonds and Beyond, highlights the potential of capital markets and tools like catastrophe bonds (Cat bonds) to expand risk-absorbing capacity.

A Most Pressing Challenge

The report’s opening words are direct and worth repeating, “In a world where technological advancements are redefining how we live and work, cybersecurity risks have emerged as some of the most pressing challenges of our time. These risks are global, ever evolving, and increasingly complex, threatening businesses of all sizes in ways that were unimaginable just a decade ago.”

It is certainly “most pressing.” Our summary follows; you can find the whole report here.

Image of the cover of the Geneva Association's new report, Catalysing Cyber Risk Transfer to Capital Markets: Catastrophe Bonds and Beyond
A Growing Crisis, A Nascent Solution

The protection gap in cyber insurance remains significant. The sheer scale and unpredictability of cyber losses drives this. Insurers rely heavily on reinsurers, ceding an estimated 50% of their cyber premiums—far more than other insurance lines. However, the limits of traditional reinsurance have prompted a shift toward innovative financial tools, such as insurance-linked securities (ILS). These bundle insurance risks into tradable assets, attracting capital from outside the insurance sector.

ILS markets have historically focused on natural catastrophe risks. But, the issuance of approximately $800 million worth of cyber Cat bonds in 2023 marked a turning point. While modest in scale given the broader market, it is a milestone that signals the sector’s potential.

Challenges in a New Frontier

Beyond this progress, the cyber ILS market still faces real challenges. Investors remain cautious. They are demanding high-risk premiums because of the market’s complexity and the lack of predictive models. Liquidity issues, narrow investor bases, and inconsistent policy definitions hinder market growth.

“The cost of transferring cyber risks remains a challenge,” said Darren Pain, Director of Cyber and Evolving Liability at the Geneva Association. “Reducing these costs will be critical for unlocking the potential of ILS markets.”

Policy Standardization and Innovation

There is agreement among experts that policy standardization and more precise definitions are needed to foster investor confidence. Recent cyber Cat bonds have adopted occurrence-based triggers. These focus on severe, discrete events rather than cumulative losses. This innovation aligns with investor preferences for rare, high-impact risks.

Advancements in digital infrastructure and tailored reinsurance products are also seen as crucial for expanding the investor base and improving the market’s liquidity. Enhanced risk modeling, leveraging data gained from past cyber incidents, is another key step to boosting the sector’s maturity.

What’s Next? Resilience

The Geneva Association’s report underscores the importance of collaboration among cyber insurance providers, policymakers, and capital markets. The growth of the cyber ILS market will require the right policies, new investment vehicles, and better risk models. This will help close some parts of the protection gap and enhance societal resilience against increasing cyber threats.

“This is not just about insurance,” Pain added. “It’s about building societal resilience in an interconnected world increasingly threatened by cyber risks.”

Although still in its infancy, the cyber ILS market holds tremendous promise. Turning cyber risks into tradable financial products is a way to protect the digital economy that holds hope for overcoming one of our time’s most significant challenges.

Other News: Here’s the First Reported “Cyber Catastrophe Bond,” from Beazley (Opens in a new browser tab)

Martin Hinton

Martin Hinton is the Executive Editor and Publisher of Cyber Insurance News and Information. With over three decades of journalism experience across six continents, his work encompasses investigative reporting, documentaries, and coverage of cultural, political, and business news. To learn more about his career, click on his name to visit his LinkedIn page.

Cyber Insurance, Reinsurance, Risk Modeling Tags:Catalysing Cyber Risk Transfer to Capital Markets: Catastrophe Bonds and Beyond, Cyber Cat Bonds, cyber catastrophe bond, cyber insurance, cyber liability insurance, cyber reinsurance, Cybersecurity, Geneva Association, ILS, Insurance Linked Securities, reinsurance

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